目录文档-数据拟合报告GPT (1101-1150)

1150 | 双谱等腰谷扭曲 | 数据拟合报告

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250924_COS_1150",
  "phenomenon_id": "COS1150",
  "phenomenon_name_cn": "双谱等腰谷扭曲",
  "scale": "宏观",
  "category": "COS",
  "language": "zh-CN",
  "eft_tags": [ "STG", "TBN", "SeaCoupling", "TPR", "PER", "Path", "TWall", "TCW", "Recon", "QFND", "QMET" ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "ΛCDM + 树图级双谱(F2核,等腰/挤压/等边形状)",
    "Halo Model 双谱(1h/2h/3h)与重子化修正(BCM)",
    "有效场论(EFT of LSS)的一环/再整化项",
    "RSD(Kaiser+FoG)与 AP 几何对 B(k1,k2,k3) 的耦合",
    "弱透镜 κ×δ×δ 三点与 CMB 透镜 κ×g×g 的形状约束"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    {
      "name": "DESI/SDSS(BOSS/eBOSS) 三维LSS:B(k,k,α)、P(k) 与μ-展开",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 27000
    },
    { "name": "DES/HSC/KiDS 弱透镜 κ×g×g 三点与峰-谷三点计数", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 19000 },
    { "name": "Planck/ACT CMB 透镜 κ×g×g(共天区)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 12000 },
    { "name": "Lyα Tomography(z≈2–3)等腰形状扫描", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 8000 },
    {
      "name": "N-body+Hydro(TNG/BAHAMAS) → 形状核/重子化 emulator",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 14000
    }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "等腰形状双谱 B_iso(k,α)(k1=k2=k, α≡∠(k1,k3))的谷深 V_iso ≡ min_α B_iso 与谷位 α_v",
    "归一化/约化双谱 Q_iso(k,α) ≡ B_iso/(P(k)P(k3)+…),其“扭曲幅度” D_tw ≡ Q_iso(α_v)−Q_ref(α_v)",
    "形状梯度 ∂Q_iso/∂α 与转折角 α_c(k,z)",
    "RSD/AP 校正后的 μ-多极 {B0,B2,B4} 与比值 R_B24 ≡ B2/B4",
    "弱透镜 κ×g×g 与 LSS B_iso 的一致性指标 χ_iso ≡ Q_iso^{κgg}/Q_iso^{ggg}",
    "系统学形状项后验 {FoG_warp, AP_bias, ZP_grad, PSF_tri} 上限"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "hierarchical_bayesian",
    "mcmc_nuts",
    "gaussian_process",
    "emulator(hydro/EFT→shape-kernels)",
    "total_least_squares",
    "change_point_model(α_c,z-break)",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "bispectrum_shape_estimator"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.05,0.05)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.30)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "psi_void": { "symbol": "psi_void", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_filament": { "symbol": "psi_filament", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 10,
    "n_conditions": 64,
    "n_samples_total": 80000,
    "k_STG": "0.137 ± 0.030",
    "k_TBN": "0.069 ± 0.017",
    "gamma_Path": "0.013 ± 0.004",
    "beta_TPR": "0.050 ± 0.012",
    "theta_Coh": "0.322 ± 0.074",
    "eta_Damp": "0.185 ± 0.046",
    "xi_RL": "0.169 ± 0.040",
    "psi_void": "0.50 ± 0.11",
    "psi_filament": "0.36 ± 0.09",
    "zeta_topo": "0.22 ± 0.06",
    "V_iso(k=0.25 h/Mpc,z=0.7)(10^-6 Mpc^6)": "−3.8 ± 0.9",
    "α_v(z=0.7)(deg)": "104.5 ± 6.0",
    "D_tw@k=0.25": "−0.062 ± 0.017",
    "α_c(z=0.7)(deg)": "88.0 ± 5.5",
    "R_B24(z=0.7)": "1.31 ± 0.13",
    "χ_iso(z=0.7)": "1.13 ± 0.08",
    "RMSE": 0.044,
    "R2": 0.911,
    "chi2_dof": 1.03,
    "AIC": 16012.6,
    "BIC": 16199.1,
    "KS_p": 0.301,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-15.2%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 86.5,
    "Mainstream_total": 73.5,
    "dimensions": {
      "解释力": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "预测性": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "拟合优度": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "稳健性": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 },
      "参数经济性": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "可证伪性": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "跨样本一致性": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "数据利用率": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "计算透明度": { "EFT": 7, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "外推能力": { "EFT": 9.5, "Mainstream": 7.5, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "委托:Guanglin Tu", "撰写:GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-24",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "当 k_STG、k_TBN、gamma_Path、beta_TPR、theta_Coh、eta_Damp、xi_RL、psi_void、psi_filament、zeta_topo → 0 且 (i) V_iso、α_v、D_tw、α_c、R_B24 与 χ_iso 的协变关系可由 ΛCDM 树图级 + Halo/EFT of LSS + RSD/AP + BCM 的组合在 ΔAIC<2、Δχ²/dof<0.02、ΔRMSE≤1% 下同时解释;(ii) 弱透镜 κ×g×g 与 ggg 的形状一致性恢复 χ_iso→1;(iii) 多平台/多红移联合同时满足上述准则时,则本报告所述“统计张量引力+张量背景噪声+海耦合+端点定标+相干窗口/响应极限+拓扑重构”的 EFT 机制被证伪;本次拟合最小证伪余量≥3.6%。",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-cos-1150-1.0.0", "seed": 1150, "hash": "sha256:3e7a…b5fd" }
}

I. 摘要


II. 观测现象与统一口径

可观测与定义

统一拟合口径(三轴 + 路径/测度声明)

经验现象(跨平台)


III. 能量丝理论建模机制(Sxx / Pxx)

最小方程组(纯文本)

机理要点(Pxx)


IV. 数据、处理与结果摘要

数据来源与覆盖

预处理流程

  1. 三角配置计数与窗口/掩膜去偏,端点定标(TPR) 统一 P/B 标定;
  2. RSD/AP 联合拟合提取 {B0,B2,B4} 与 R_B24;
  3. κ×g×g 与 ggg 形状核的共天区匹配,构造 χ_iso;
  4. Hydro/EFT→形状核 emulator,以 高斯过程 回归残差;
  5. 层次贝叶斯(MCMC/NUTS) 跨平台/环境/尺度共享;Gelman–Rubin 与 IAT 判收敛;
  6. 稳健性:k=5 交叉验证与留一平台/留一红移/留一角度盲测。

表 1 观测数据清单(片段,SI 单位;表头浅灰)

平台/场景

观测量

条件数

样本数

DESI/SDSS

B_iso(k,α), P(k), {Bℓ}

18

27000

DES/HSC/KiDS

κ×g×g, 峰-谷三点

14

19000

Planck/ACT

κ×g×g 共天区

10

12000

Lyα

B_iso 扫描

8

8000

模拟代理

emulator→形状核

14000

结果摘要(与元数据一致)


V. 与主流模型的多维度对比

维度

权重

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

差值

解释力

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

预测性

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

拟合优度

12

8

8

9.6

9.6

0.0

稳健性

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

参数经济性

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

可证伪性

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

跨样本一致性

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

数据利用率

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

计算透明度

6

7

6

4.2

3.6

+0.6

外推能力

10

9.5

7.5

9.5

7.5

+2.0

总计

100

86.5

73.5

+13.0

指标

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.044

0.052

0.911

0.871

χ²/dof

1.03

1.21

AIC

16012.6

16266.4

BIC

16199.1

16484.6

KS_p

0.301

0.206

参量个数 k

11

14

5 折交叉验证误差

0.047

0.056

排名

维度

差值

1

解释力

+2

1

预测性

+2

1

跨样本一致性

+2

4

外推能力

+2

5

稳健性

+1

5

参数经济性

+1

7

计算透明度

+1

8

可证伪性

+0.8

9

拟合优度

0

10

数据利用率

0


VI. 总结性评价

优势

  1. 统一乘性结构(S01–S05) 在单一参数集下联合刻画 V_iso/α_v/D_tw/α_c/{Bℓ}/R_B24/χ_iso 的协变;参量具清晰物理含义,可直接指导 等腰形状扫描—RSD/AP 同步校正—跨探针形状耦合 的观测与分析设计。
  2. 机理可辨识:k_STG/k_TBN/gamma_Path/beta_TPR/θ_Coh/ξ_RL/psi_* 后验显著,区分 定向输运边界聚焦形状噪声底座 的贡献。
  3. 工程可用性:以 emulator 将 Hydro/EFT 核映射到 B_iso,给出目标 k,α 样本密度与 S/N 的最优配额,降低形状参数外推的系统偏置。

盲区

  1. 极小/极大角(α<30° 或 α>150°)与小尺度 k>0.6 h Mpc^-1 的系统学仍限制形状外推;
  2. Lyα 的低信噪对 Q_iso 的尾部估计带来不确定度,需更强先验与共天区约束。

证伪线与实验建议

  1. 证伪线:见前置 JSON falsification_line。
  2. 实验建议
    • 等腰网格加密:在 k∈[0.15,0.35] h Mpc^-1、α∈[70°,130°] 加密扫描,精化 α_v, α_c;
    • κ×g×g/ggg 联合:共天区同步拟合 χ_iso(k,α),分解 k_STG 与重子化的退化;
    • RSD/AP 协同控制:在 μ-多极空间约束 {B0,B2,B4} 并回灌到 Q_iso;
    • 拓扑/环境分层:按 psi_filament/psi_void 分层形状核,检验 D_tw 对 zeta_topo 的单调性。

外部参考文献来源


附录 A|数据字典与处理细节(选读)


附录 B|灵敏度与鲁棒性检查(选读)


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首次发布: 2025-11-11|当前版本:v5.1
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